Pandemic idea sharing. Regardless of cause, H5N1, SARS or Ebola the same basic plannings are the same. While a few are tasked with creating the plans, the many are tasked with carrying them out. Disucss plans, ideas, fears and rescources here.
June 20, 2009 at 7:54 pm #74184
Have "bolded" what I believe is the important part of the story...
One has to wonder what the REAL NUMBERS are...
From Newsday Long Island Newspaper
Swine flu deaths almost doubled nationwide in the past week, with more than a quarter of the new deaths in New York, including seven in the city, officials announced Friday.
Nationally, the confirmed and probable case count rose to 21,449 this week, and the number of deaths reached 87, according to figures the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released Friday.
OFFICIALS ACKNOWLEDGE THAT WITH THE VIRUS NOW WIDESPREAD AND UNSTOPPABLE THE LIKELY REAL FIGURE OF THE NATION'S POPULATION AFFECTED IS DRAMATICALLY HIGHER. ONLY A SMALL PERCENTAGE OF PROBABLE CASES - THOSE INVOLVING PEOPLE CONSIDERED HIGH-RISK BECAUSE OF UNDERLYING MEDICAL CONDITIONS, PREGNANCY OR BECAUSE THEY ARE HOSPITALIZED - IS BEING LABORATORY-TESTED.
June 20, 2009 at 8:46 pm #74192
The real numbers are hard to pin down as we are always 24 to 72 hours behind the curve. A person starts to shed the virus before they show a temprature. Hence they are infecting others before they even know they are infected.
This is the real fear of H5N1 or bird flu. Here the sentinals are chickens and other birds dying in mass quantities before people get sick - though there have been a few unexplained cases.
Also H1N1 should be getting deadlier. A virus is just a small bit of genetic material that can not reproduce itself. It relies on the host machinery to make copies of itself. During this process the virus changes to become a better fit for that host. In this case we are the host. Hence the concern that H1N1 will come back in the fall stronger and novel. Novel meaning no one has resistance to it.
BTW I read where they are developing quick field test kits for H1N1.
June 30, 2009 at 6:41 pm #74190
Robert Christopher MansonParticipant
Why is the CDC only updating H1N1 numbers every Friday?
July 1, 2009 at 10:25 am #74188
MY PERSONAL OPINION
CDC doesn't have the resources (human) in place to deal with this magnitude of an issue, and early on (early May) the decision was made that the resources would be dedicated to identifying the H1N1 and data transparency was NOT exactly high on their list of Priorities.
I understand that CDC has started the process of hiring additional staff but realizing that the GENERALLY speaking the federal hiring process is somewhat broke...
END of MY OPINION
July 1, 2009 at 4:11 pm #74186
I am not sure. I have not heard anything official. The WHO continuues to update their numbers and flu bloggers post 20 to 70 H1N1 stories per day.
The CDC has many priorities. IT may be that people are not dying in high enough numbers or for political reasons.
HHS has also stopped their Pandemic Planning webcasts.
People continue to say 'Quick, cheap, correct - pick any two out of three" That now is the time to prepare before the fall. Fla_Medic has blogged that we have less than 90 days to be ready for fall H1N1. Mrs Sebelius has asked schools to prepare over the summer. Yet the CDC and news media seems to be quiet.
I agree with Henry's post on many levels and also feel that preparation is not a priority. Come September when school and hurricane season ramp up some will be prepared while others are not.
BTW - the last figures I got where 1/7. For every dollar spent on preparation, seven are saved. That is pretty good return on investment.
Lastly it is sad that those who prepare for the future by buying life insurance do not take steps to prevent using that life insurance. Just a thought.
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