In the last GovLoop poll I asked "When Will Gov 2.0 Take Off?"
The answers were pretty interesting:
16.3% This summer
23.9% 6 months
21.7% 1 year
28.3% 2-3 years
While we have some people on both sides (16.3% say this summer and 9.8% never), the majority bunch up in the middle with 2-3 years being the biggest group. I've been thinking a lot about the topic lately and talking to a lot of experts who have been around for other large changes like the original web introduction in government and I'm personally leaning towards 2-3 years.
I'm hoping this summer things will start to kick off after the Open Government memo is released in late May. However, it will take awhile to understand the guidance. Conferences like Gov 2.0 Summit (O'Reilly) in September and Open Government conference (FCW) in July will help the Gov 2.0 brainstorm.
But that is just the beginning. A true change in culture and ways of business take time. We will see early signs and success stories but mainstream adoption will probably take 2-3 years to really get going.
Or so I think....and most GovLoopers as well....