How organizations – and you -- can become better at judging the likelihood of uncertain events.
Posts Tagged: prediction
The U.S. Naval Research Laboratory has developed and demonstrated several tools for measuring atmospheric and ocean parameters to help predict the weather. NRL presented numerical weather prediction models and sensing systems at the U.S. Navy's annual Trident Warrior sea trial exercise held from July 13 through 18, NRL said Wednesday. “These numerical experiments demonstrate, in... Read more »
I’ve been thinking about and studying the whole “here comes everybody” phenomenon recently. And, while I’m not going to offer any definitive conclusions, I thought I would offer a mish-mash of some of my personal observations and findings: first, to see if any resonate and, second, to see what I can learn from others who... Read more »
Motorola uses a prediction market to gather new ideas from employees and predict their success based on how willing individuals are to buy "stock" in them. They launched a system called ThinkTank in 2003 to collect potential innovations. Employees are given $100K in virtual dollars to vote on ideas at $10 per share. Perhap government... Read more »